Met Office issues monsoon rainfall outlook for 2026, warns of regional extremes

Met Office issues monsoon rainfall outlook for 2026, warns of regional extremes
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Summary The PMD said temperatures across the country are expected to remain above normal from July to September

(Web Desk) - The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has released its seasonal outlook for the 2026 monsoon, forecasting below-normal rainfall in most parts of the country, while some northern regions are expected to receive above-normal precipitation.

According to the forecast, Kashmir, upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Gilgit-Baltistan are likely to experience heavier-than-usual rainfall during the season.

The PMD said temperatures across the country are expected to remain above normal from July to September, with northern Punjab and western Gilgit-Baltistan likely to face comparatively more intense heat conditions.

The department warned that the combination of intense monsoon spells and rising temperatures could increase the risk of urban flooding in cities across Sindh, Punjab, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa.

It further cautioned that reduced rainfall in parts of Punjab, Sindh, and Balochistan may worsen water scarcity issues, while elevated temperatures could intensify heat stress conditions nationwide.

Officials also highlighted the possibility of glacial melting and glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) in northern regions, which may add to flood risks during the season.

Experts have urged authorities to strengthen preparedness measures and improve early warning systems to mitigate potential climate-related impacts.
 

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