Stocks, dollar inch higher

Stocks, dollar inch higher

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Stocks, dollar inch higher

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NEW YORK (Reuters) - Global stock indexes and the US dollar edged higher on Monday ahead of this week's US consumer price index report, which could provide clues on when the Federal Reserve is likely to begin cutting interest rates.

The S&P 500 hit a fresh intraday record high, while the MSCI world stock index touched its highest since January 2022. Last week it finished above 5,000 points for the first time.

The January consumer price index report is due Tuesday, while the US producer prices report is due later in the week. Investors are also eager to see Thursday's US retail sales report for January.

Expectations of a Fed rate cut at its next meeting have fallen as some recent data has suggested the economy remains robust.

Markets are pricing in an 84.5% chance of rates remaining unchanged in March. Also, the odds for at least a 25-basis-point rate reduction in May have dropped to 61%, from over 95% at the start of 2024, as per the CME FedWatch Tool.

"Soft CPI and soft retail sales should help boost the Fed's confidence that inflation is coming back to its target," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 48.22 points, or 0.12%, to 38,720.68, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 7.27 points, or 0.14%, to 5,033.88 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 50.07 points, or 0.31%, to 16,040.74.

The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS) which tracks shares in 49 nations, gained 0.15%, while European stocks (.STOXX) were up 0.5%.

Markets in China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam, and Malaysia were closed for the holidays.

Mainland China's financial markets are closed for the Lunar New Year holiday and will resume trade on Monday, Feb. 19. Hong Kong trade will resume on Feb. 14.

Investors have also reduced their expectations for rate cuts by the European Central Bank after two policymakers said last week that the ECB needs more evidence that inflation is easing before it can cut rates.

The dollar index (.DXY) which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, gained 0.14 points, or 0.13%, to 104.25.

The dollar was up 0.1% at 149.45 against the yen, while the euro was down 0.2% against the dollar.

The euro fell from a 10-day high touched in early trading. A reading of the euro zone's fourth-quarter economic growth could give fresh direction.

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes rose to 4.191% compared with its US close of 4.187% on Friday.

Oil prices eased as investors took profits after recent strong gains. US crude dipped 0.05% to $76.8 a barrel. Brent crude fell to $81.91 per barrel.

Spot gold prices fell 0.46% to $2,014.89 an ounce.