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Oil set for sharp weekly drop but Middle East supply concerns provide floor

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Oil prices rose for a second day but remained on track for a 12% weekly decline amid hopes of Iran war de-escalation, while tanker attacks renewed Middle East supply concerns.

BEIJING (Reuters) - Oil prices are set for a sharp weekly drop on expectations of a de-escalation of the Iran war after US President ​Donald Trump's party suffered election losses, but Middle East supply concerns ‌from the conflict continue to provide a floor for the market.

Brent crude futures for January rose on Friday by $1.57, or 1.6%, to $99.86 a barrel as of 0222 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate ​futures climbed $1.10, or 1.22% to $91.62 a barrel. Both contracts gained for a second ​day.

Still, the Brent contract is on track to drop by 12% ⁠this week after the December contract expired on October 30, while WTI ​is set to drop 12.1% this week.

The contracts plunged earlier this week on expectations that ​US Congressional elections on Tuesday, which swung the Senate and House of Representatives to the Democrat party and from Trump's Republicans, could lead to a de-escalation of the US-Israeli war against ​Iran, now in its ninth month.

Oil prices fell 8% on Wednesday alone after the ​Democrats swept the midterm elections, settling at two-month lows.

However, prices rebounded on a surge in tanker attacks on ‌Wednesday ⁠and Thursday in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz — the crucial sea outlet for a majority of Middle Eastern oil shipments — that renewed the concerns about supply flows from the region.

"Crude oil rebounded as traders viewed Wednesday's selloff as ​overdone," said Daniel ​Hynes, senior commodity ⁠strategist at ANZ, in a note on Friday.

He said prices had been under pressure following the Democrat wins; however "the reality ​of the situation hit home" during Thursday's trading.

"Iran maintains control ​of the ⁠Strait of Hormuz and is unlikely to relinquish that control," he said, adding that overall flows through the Strait of Hormuz are under 60% of capacity.

Iran said ⁠on Thursday ​that three more tankers had been attacked in the ​Strait of Hormuz, and data from UK maritime security agency UKMTO suggested that attacks on tankers ​are still running at close to record pace.

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